National Hurricane Center Tracking 3 Tropical Systems in the Atlantic This Week
One system has a 70% chance of forming into a tropical depression by week's end
Orange Beach, Ala. — (OBA) — The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking three areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic Ocean. As of the latest report, none of the three systems had reached tropical depression status. One of the disturbances is likely to develop by the end of the week. The outlook was authored by Forecaster Hagen of the National Hurricane Center.
The report was issued at 2 a.m. EDT on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. The most closely watched system is about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for development over the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center said a tropical depression is likely to form in the latter half of this week.
The Cabo Verde system has a 30% chance of forming within 48 hours and a 70% chance within seven days. A 70% probability places it in the "high" formation category used by the National Hurricane Center. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Gulf Coast residents, including those along the Alabama and Florida Panhandle shorelines, should continue to monitor updates.
A second disturbance consists of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development is possible over the next day or two as the system moves westward. However, it is expected to encounter a large area of dry air by Wednesday night, which should end its chances of development. Both the 48-hour and seven-day formation probabilities remain low at 10%.
A third area of concern is a trough of low pressure several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda in the central subtropical Atlantic. The system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and moving eastward at about 20 mph. Forecasters expect it to reach cooler waters later this week, which will end its chances of forming by Thursday. The formation probability is listed at 10% for both the 48-hour and seven-day outlooks.
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