2025 Hurricane Season Forecasts Predict Average Activity

OBA Staff • February 28, 2025

Cooler Atlantic Waters May Reduce 2025 Storm Activity

Orange Beach, Ala. – (OBA) – The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1st and concludes on November 30th, aligning with the traditional period when the majority of tropical cyclones develop in the northern Atlantic Ocean region. Early forecasts suggest that this season may experience near-average activity.

The first 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast from Colorado State University is due April 3, 2025. CSU will release updated forecasts monthly and every two weeks thereafter.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center meteorologists will issue their hurricane season forecast in the coming weeks.

In December 2024, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released an extended-range forecast predicting 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes for the 2025 season. This outlook, however, carries significant uncertainties due to various environmental factors.

Similarly, WeatherBell Analytics LLC, a meteorological consulting firm, anticipates a slightly less active season compared to the previous year. Their projections estimate between 15 and 19 named storms, 7 to 9 hurricanes, and 2 to 3 major hurricanes. This anticipated reduction in activity is attributed to cooler sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic.

The World Meteorological Organization has released the list of names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. The first named storm will be Andrea, followed by Barry, Chantal, and Dexter. Notably, Dexter replaces Dorian, which was retired after the 2019 season.

Residents of Orange Beach, Alabama, are particularly mindful of hurricane threats, as the area was significantly impacted by Hurricane Sally in September 2020. Sally, a slow-moving hurricane, made landfall near in Orange Beach as a Category 2 hurricane, bringing extensive wind damage and flooding to the region. The storm resulted in at least one fatality, numerous rescues from flooded homes, and widespread structural damage.

Given the unpredictability of hurricane seasons, it's crucial for residents in hurricane-prone areas to stay informed and prepared. Regularly monitoring updates from the National Hurricane Center and adhering to local emergency management guidelines can help ensure safety during the hurricane season.

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